Result analysis of various political parties in Tamilnadu assembly elections 2011
Tamilnadu assembly election 2011 is eagerly looked upon by all as many believe this election is crucial for both the DMK and AIADMK political parties. Both the parties had chosen their partners hoping to win this election comfortably. But lot of incidents had happened after the announcement of alliance which would have cast doubt in the minds of all the political
parties. The Exit polls and surveys for election 2011 had announced comfortable majority for ADMK. Now they had toned down to say that no political party will get absolute majority. This change was caused by many political incidents that had happened both at the center and the state level.
Chances for DMK in assembly elections 2011
DMK is contesting in 119 seats. They had their own problems in seat sharing with the Congress. At one point of time they even announced that they are walking out of the alliance with the congress. Finally better sense prevailed and both the parties accepted the seat sharing formula and agreed to contest the election 2011 as partners. This had some what dented the image of the DMK and Congress in the minds of the people. People began to think if this alliance will ever survive after the election results. This would have slightly lowered their image and also their aspirations to win this election. Still as the ruling party DMK had romped in Star campaigners for the election 2011 which was by and large successful.
DMK election manifesto 2011 was very good and they had also implemented their previous election manifesto by distributing free color TV to all ration card holders. Issue of Rice in Ration shops had benefited the middle and lower class people to a larger extent. But the 2G Spectrum scam 2011 had erased all the good work done by them. DMK party members and Karunanidhi family members involvement in the 2G spectrum scam had dealt a severe blow to the DMK aspirations in election 2011.
AIADMK chances in assembly elections 2011
AIADMK is contesting in 160 seats in this election 2011. They are riding on the anti incumbency wave against the DMK due to corruption charges. This had given them a slight advantage over the DMK. Their constent statement about family politics in DMK had proved to a certain extent to dent the image of the DMK. AIADMK also had problems with seat sharing and it resulted in MDMK chief
Vaiko to come out of the alliance and decided not to contest the election. Also there was problems with seat sharing with DMDK which had been sorted our before the elections. AIADMK election manifesto 2011 also matched with the DMK in announcing lot of freebies to the Tamilnadu people.
Vaiko's withdrawal from the alliance will have some impact on the final results for the AIADMK in this election 2011. Also there was not proper coordination between the AIADMK and DMDK party members during the election campaign. Both the parties behaved as if they are contesting separately and not in alliance with each other. This would have mad the people to think will this alliance survive after the election results. Still many believe that AIADMK allaince will win this election but would not get absolute majority to form government on their own.
Chances for Congress in assembly elections 2011
Congress is contesting in 63 seats in this election. Their image is completely tarnished due to scams both at the center and at the state level. There was lot of in-fighting within the party before and after the elections. Many party members were angry that senior members were not consulted before announcing the candidates list for the contesting constituencies. Many party workers revolted against the Tamilnadu congress party chief Thangabalu for his influence in selecting the party candidates..
They also did not have a smooth seat sharing formula with the DMK. For congress there are lot of negatives in this election and it would be interesting to see how many they can win out of the 63 seats that they are contesting.
Chances for DMDK in assembly elections 2011
DMDK is contesting in 41 seats. They also had seat sharing issues with the AIADMK alliance. It would be interesting how they will fare in this election as many contesting members are new to the people of Tamilnadu. Also their election campaign did not go well as they expected. Tamil comedy actor Vadivelu criticized Vijayakanth through out his election campaign which would have irritated his party workers. This may or may not have an impact on the election results.
There was no coordination between the AIADMK and DMDK party workers in this election. Many wondered if they are contesting the election individually. This was seen in many constituencies where campaign for the party candidates were announced. It is to be looked who along with Vijayakanth will win in this election.
Chances for PMK in assembly elections 2011
PMK is contesting in 30 seats. They had been the trust worthy alliance for the DMK right from the day their alliance was announced. They had a much subdued election campaign in this assembly election. Many predict that they would have a descent winning percentage in this election. Their main advantage is that they are standing in the constituencies when they have strong chance of winning
They would hope to get good winning percentage to boost their image all over Tamilnadu. This is a good test for them to show that they are also one of the strong force in Tamilnadu politics.
As both the alliance have their plus and minus it would be interesting to see how the people of Tamilnadu would have evaluated them before casting their votes in the elections 2011. The results would be announced on May 13 2011 and it would be interesting to see if the alliance stays or changes as per the seats won by each political party. No doubt this assembly elections got more
attention than any of the previous assembly elections in Tamilnadu politics.
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