Media opinion and success rate of political parties in Tamilnadu assembly elections 2011

Posted Date: 10-May-2011	Category: Tamilnadu Elections	Rating:
Author: Rajesh	Member Level: Gold	Points: 25 (Rs 10)

Who will win the Tamilnadu assembly elections 2011? How many seats will DMK and ADMK win in this election? Will there be a coalition government in Tamilnadu? Which political party will form the next government? Who will be the next chief minister of Tamilnadu? These are the pricking questions in every ones mind in Tamilnadu. Of course the answers to these questions will be out on May 13 2011 when counting of votes are done. Read the article below to find a reasonable update to all these questions.

The major question in every ones mind is who will win the Tamilnadu assembly elections 2011?.There are lots of opinion polls being conducted by various Tamil magazines for the past couple of months. They had published this as their results for the Tamilnadu assembly elections 2011. This had given them good coverage and increased their circulation very well. Two popular magazines Junior Vikatan and Nakkeeran had published their results as to how many seats each party will win this TN election 2011. Though we cannot take them as accurate results still we can take them as an approximate value. Both the magazines had given different results in their election prediction.

Junior Vikatan's opinion about success rate of political parties in TN election 2011

Junior Vikatan magazine a popular magazine in Tamilnadu had conducted their opinion poll and had come up with the results in all the 234 constituencies. They had predicted that AIADMK alliance will win this election and the DMK alliance will be defeated. They had also come up with the advantages and disadvantages of both DMK and the AIADMK in the election 2011.

Advantages of DMK in election 2011
• Distribution of color TV's to all Ration Card holders in Tamilnadu.
• Supply of one rupee rice in all ration shops.
• special benefits given to government employees.
• organized good set of speakers to spread their election manifesto through out Tamilnadu.

Disadvantages of DMK in election 2011
• Spectrum Scam involving their party candidates
• Complete dominance of Karunanidhi's family in DMK party.
• Karunanidhi's poor approach to the Ealem Tamil issue.
• Frequent power cuts in all parts of Tamilnadu.

Advantages of AIDMK in election 2011
• Propagating the influence of Karunanidhi's family in DMK party.
• Strong support of Vijayakanth's DMDK vote bank.
• Attractive election manifesto to counter DMK.
• Strong image of Jayalalitha to impose strict law and order in Tamilnadu.

Disadvantages of AIDMK in election 2011
• Vaiko's withdrawal from the AIADMK alliance.
• Complete break down of coordination between AIADMK and MDMK.
• Release of contesting seats without discussing with the alliance partners.
• Influence of Sasikala's family in selecting the AIADMK candidates.

Success rate of DMK alliance in election 2011

Party Contested seats Winnable seats Success %
-------------------------------------------------
DMK 119 67 56.30%
Congress 63 15 23.81%
PMK 30 7 23.33%
VC 10 2 20.00%
KMK 7 1 14.29%
ML 3 0 0.00%
MMK 1 0 0.00%
PTMK 1 0 0.00%
------------------------------------------------
Total 234 92 39.32%
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Success rate of AIADMK alliance in election 2011

Party Contested seats Winnable seats Success %
-------------------------------------------------
AIADMK 160 105 65.63%
DMDK 41 17 41.46%
CPM 12 11 91.67%
CPI 10 4 40.00%
MNMK 3 3 100.00%
PT 2 0 0.00%
SMK 2 0 0.00%
IRP 1 0 0.00%
MMKM 1 0 0.00%
FB 1 0 0.00%
KIP 1 1 100.00%
------------------------------------------------
Total 234 141 60.26%
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Nakkeeran's opinion about success rate of political parties in TN election 2011

Nakkeeran magazine had given its opinion quite opposite to that of Junior Vikatan. Their results shows that DMK alliance will win this election comfortably. They are confident in their prediction as they had also done their prediction correctly in previous elections.

Success rate of DMK alliance in election 2011

Party Contested seats Winnable seats Success %
-------------------------------------------------
DMK 119 90 75.63%
Congress 63 24 38.10%
PMK 30 17 56.67%
VC 10 4 40.00%
KMK 7 1 14.29%
ML 3 3 100.00%
MMK 1 1 100.00%
PTMK 1 0 0.00%
------------------------------------------------
Total 234 140 59.83%
------------------------------------------------

Success rate of AIADMK alliance in election 2011

Party Contested seats Winnable seats Success %
-------------------------------------------------
AIADMK 160 74 46.25%
DMDK 41 8 19.51%
CPM 12 6 50.00%
CPI 10 3 30.00%
MNMK 3 1 33.33%
PT 2 0 0.00%
SMK 2 1 50.00%
IRP 1 0 0.00%
MMKM 1 0 0.00%
FB 1 0 0.00%
KIP 1 1 100.00%
------------------------------------------------
Total 234 94 40.17%
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May 13 2001 will decide whether the prediction of these magazines will hold true or not. Ultimately people of Tamilnadu decides the next Chief Minisiter and not the magazines opinion poll. Lets hope for a fair mandate by people of Tamilnadu in assembly elections 2011.

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