Opinion prediction and results for AIADMK and DMK in Tamilnadu assembly elections 2011
It is time for the results to be announced for the Tamilnadu assembly elections 2011. Everyone would be eagerly waiting for the results which will be announced on May 13 2011. The ruling party DMK would like to extend their dominance over AIADMK for another 5 years. On the other hand, the AIADMK would love to come back to power after a gap of 5 years. Both the parties had prepared for this election campaign very well. This can be seen through the election manifesto of DMK and AIADMK that both the parties had prepared. There are lots of freebies offered by both the parties in order to garner votes in the assembly elections. Stars from cinema industry also joined the election campaign which added glamour to the assembly elections. But it all depends on the people of tamilnadu to decide who would be the next chief minister of Tamilnadu. They had cast their verdict which would be revealed when counting of votes on May 13 2011 are completed.
Chances for DMK alliance in Tamilnadu assembly elections 2011
The ruling DMK alliance would have a tough time winning this election than the previous one. This is mainly due to the corruption charges filed against their party leaders couple of months before elections. The 2G scam had not only created a stir nationwide but also will have its impact in the Tamilnadu assembly elections. The arrest of former telecom minister Raja had dealt a severe blow to their election run-up. Also Karunanidhi's daughter Kanimozhi's inclusion in charge sheet by the CBI would also have an impact though it was done after the elections are over. This 2G scam had engulfed some good work done by the DMK government in the past 5 years. DMK would mainly feel their heat in major cities than in villages. As per prediction from various agencies DMK would find extremely difficult to win seats in major cities like Chennai, Coimbatore, Madurai and Trichy.
Another drawback for DMK is their alliance with congress party. The Congress party never had a strong base in Tamilnadu after Kamaraj. They try to get a hold in Tamilnadu by joining with the DMK. But the Commonwealth Games scam and the 2G scam had dealt a severe blow to their aspirations in Tamilnadu. Also there is lot of in-fighting going within the party. Congress is standing in 60 odd seats in this election which left DMK to contest with fewer seats in this election. This would make the DMK extremely difficult to emerge as the single largest party in this election.
Positive aspects of DMK in election 2011
• Development in IT and infrastructure
• Improvement in healthcare department
• Major development in Industry
Major drawbacks for DMK in election 2011
• 2G spectrum scam involving DMK party members
• Price rise as a whole
• Frequent Power cuts in Tamilnadu
• No concrete decision taken for the killing of Tamilnadu fisherman by srilankan sea force
Chances for AIADMK alliance in Tamilnadu assembly elections 2011
AIADMK in their election campaign had highlited the 2G spectrum scandal very well. They try to take on DMK by accusing of them of the scandal that they are involved. Price rise and power cut problems were the major issues taken by them in their election campaign. Poll prediction had revealed that AIADMK alliance will form the next government. People are looking for a change to see further improvement in infrastructure in Tamilnadu.
The withdrawal of MDMK from the alliance due to seat sharing issues would likely affect the poll percentage for the AIADMK alliance. It would be difficult to know how the MDMK party workers would have reacted to this situation and for whom they would have voted in this election. Also we would not know how the election campaign of Vijayakanth turns out to be in this election. Many people were concerened with the way he had done his campaign as if he is not with the AIADMK alliance. This may also would have some impact on the results on elections 2011.
Major drawbacks for AIDMK in election 2011
• MDMK withdrawal from the alliance
• Controversy in selecting the candidates for the elections 2011
• Campaign of Vijayakanth going the wrong way
As always the mood of the Tamilnadu people on the particular day of election decides the election fate for both the political parties. It is to be seen whether either of the party gets absolute majority or they have to depend on the alliance partners to form the government. If there is no absolute majority then there is a possibility of parties changing alliance. If that is done then it would defy the faith of the voters as they had voted keeping the particular alliance in mind. We all hope that better sense prevail and people's mandate is respected in this election.
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